Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 57.8%

CAR: 42.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.07

CAR: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	34	29	5	85.3%	3.92	1	-1.08
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	22	1	95.7%	2.35	1	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	SEA 2 - 1 CAR	SEA	CAR
2026-01-10	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR
2024-12-03	CAR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	CAR
2024-10-26	SEA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-10-26	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	8	0	0.47
1	CAR	19	0	1.15
2	SEA	8	1	0.42
2	CAR	17	1	2.02
3	SEA	13	0	1.45
3	CAR	15	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4