Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2022-10-18 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 82.9%
ANA: 17.1%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.97
ANA: 2.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
M. Blackwood
ANA
A. Stolarz
| Stat | NJD | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | M. Blackwood | 20 | 18 | 2 | 90.0% | 2.16 | 3 | 0.16 |
| ANA | A. Stolarz | 41 | 37 | 4 | 90.2% | 4.29 | 4 | 0.29 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NJD at home vs ANA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NJD 4 - 1 ANA | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-11-02 | ANA 4 - 1 NJD | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-12-31 | ANA 3 - 2 NJD | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-27 | NJD 6 - 2 ANA | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-03-01 | ANA 4 - 3 NJD | ANA | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 18 | 2 | 1.30 |
| 1 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | NJD | 24 | 1 | 2.07 |
| 2 | ANA | 14 | 2 | 1.34 |
| 3 | NJD | 12 | 1 | 0.91 |
| 3 | ANA | 5 | 1 | 0.38 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 82.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.2
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