Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-10-18 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.4%

VAN: 48.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.90

VAN: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	35	32	3	91.4%	2.24	2	-0.76
VAN	S. Martin	33	29	4	87.9%	3.73	4	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs VAN: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	VAN
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	1	0.59
1	VAN	10	1	0.73
2	CBJ	16	2	1.52
2	VAN	9	0	0.37
3	CBJ	14	1	1.23
3	VAN	17	1	0.88
4	CBJ	4	0	0.39
4	VAN	3	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4