San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2022-10-18 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 67.9%
SJS: 32.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.93
SJS: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
SJS
J. Reimer
| Stat | NYI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.000 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 0.00 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | Semyon Varlamov | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 2.47 | 0 | 0.47 |
| SJS | J. Reimer | 46 | 41 | 5 | 89.1% | 3.86 | 0 | -1.14 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | SJS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-10-21 | NYI 4 - 3 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-08 | SJS 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4 - 1 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-03-07 | SJS 2 - 7 NYI | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYI | 17 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 1 | SJS | 12 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 2 | NYI | 28 | 0 | 2.12 |
| 2 | SJS | 12 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 3 | NYI | 14 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 3 | SJS | 12 | 0 | 0.74 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.6
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