Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-10-19 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

FLA: 80.2%

PHI: 19.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.89

PHI: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	30	3	90.9%	2.21	0	-0.79
PHI	F. Sandstrom	36	32	4	88.9%	3.82	2	-0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs PHI: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	FLA
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	0	1.24
1	PHI	8	0	0.38
2	FLA	19	1	1.52
2	PHI	11	0	0.85
3	FLA	14	1	1.06
3	PHI	20	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0