St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

SEA: 38.7%

STL: 61.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.44

STL: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

M. Jones

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	28	24	4	85.7%	3.20	2	-0.80
STL	Jordan Binnington	35	32	3	91.4%	4.11	4	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	1	1.18
1	STL	16	2	1.94
2	SEA	19	1	1.32
2	STL	12	0	0.84
3	SEA	19	2	1.45
3	STL	6	0	0.36
4	SEA	1	0	0.16
4	STL	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.4 - 2.9