Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

BOS: 62.0%

ANA: 38.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.21

ANA: 3.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

BOS

L. Ullmark

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	34	33	1	97.1%	2.25	0	1.25
ANA	John Gibson	39	37	2	94.9%	3.56	1	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • BOS at home vs ANA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.96
1	ANA	7	0	0.32
2	BOS	16	0	0.79
2	ANA	12	0	0.63
3	BOS	11	0	0.58
3	ANA	13	0	0.53
4	BOS	5	0	0.34
4	ANA	7	0	0.54
5	BOS	4	1	0.90
5	ANA	4	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 8.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.9