Arizona Coyotes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

MTL: 74.4%

ARI: 25.6%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.69

ARI: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

MTL

J. Allen

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	27	25	2	92.6%	2.39	1	0.39
ARI	C. Ingram	30	24	6	80.0%	3.67	5	-2.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs ARI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-27	MTL 4 - 2 ARI	MTL	MTL
2023-11-02	ARI 3 - 2 MTL	ARI	ARI
2022-12-19	ARI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2022-10-20	MTL 6 - 2 ARI	MTL	MTL
2022-03-15	MTL 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	14	2	1.18
1	ARI	8	0	0.47
2	MTL	13	1	0.96
2	ARI	14	0	0.83
3	MTL	9	2	1.54
3	ARI	15	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5