San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 63.0%

SJS: 37.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.48

SJS: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	27	24	3	88.9%	2.83	2	-0.17
SJS	J. Reimer	23	21	2	91.3%	3.07	0	1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	0	1.23
1	SJS	9	1	0.57
2	NYR	18	0	1.41
2	SJS	5	0	0.53
3	NYR	10	0	0.43
3	SJS	21	1	1.51
4	NYR	0	0	0.00
4	SJS	2	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8