Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 49.8%

VAN: 50.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

VAN: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	26	23	3	88.5%	3.08	3	0.08
VAN	Thatcher Demko	37	33	4	89.2%	3.06	0	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.87
1	VAN	11	0	0.67
2	MIN	10	0	0.65
2	VAN	20	2	1.56
3	MIN	15	0	1.06
3	VAN	9	1	0.81
4	MIN	5	0	0.47
4	VAN	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.6