Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VGK: 58.8%

WPG: 41.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.17

WPG: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	28	26	2	92.9%	1.65	0	-0.35
WPG	D. Rittich	32	27	5	84.4%	3.76	2	-1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs WPG: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	0	0.45
1	WPG	13	0	0.56
2	VGK	17	0	1.43
2	WPG	11	0	0.45
3	VGK	13	2	1.89
3	WPG	16	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3