Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-10-21 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

CHI: 76.1%

DET: 23.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.52

DET: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	28	25	3	89.3%	2.81	0	-0.19
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	29	25	4	86.2%	2.54	1	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs DET: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.69
1	DET	11	0	0.68
2	CHI	17	1	1.06
2	DET	16	0	0.78
3	CHI	14	0	0.60
3	DET	11	0	1.28
4	CHI	2	0	0.19
4	DET	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0