Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-10-21 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 59.8%

SEA: 40.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.60

SEA: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

COL

P. Francouz

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	38	35	3	92.1%	2.49	1	-0.51
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	20	18	2	90.0%	1.93	0	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	11	0	0.71
1	SEA	14	0	0.54
2	COL	9	0	0.71
2	SEA	15	1	1.00
3	COL	12	0	0.51
3	SEA	16	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8