Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 48.5%

LAK: 51.5%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.33

LAK: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

WSH

D. Kuemper

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	D. Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	1.90	0	-1.10
LAK	J. Quick	32	28	4	87.5%	2.73	1	-1.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • WSH at home vs LAK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	17	0	0.93
1	LAK	9	0	0.39
2	WSH	12	1	0.87
2	LAK	11	0	0.70
3	WSH	19	0	0.93
3	LAK	16	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2