Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

VAN: 48.4%

BUF: 51.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.47

BUF: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	27	22	5	81.5%	4.19	3	-0.81
BUF	C. Anderson	30	29	1	96.7%	3.04	1	2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • VAN at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	BUF 5 - 3 VAN	BUF	BUF
2025-12-11	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-21	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	VAN
2024-11-29	BUF 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-03-19	VAN 3 - 2 BUF	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	1	1.46
1	BUF	16	0	1.20
2	VAN	14	0	0.95
2	BUF	10	0	0.75
3	VAN	10	0	0.63
3	BUF	15	3	2.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.5