Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 38.9%

CAR: 61.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.04

CAR: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

CGY

J. Markstrom

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	27	25	2	92.6%	3.10	3	1.10
CAR	A. Raanta	32	29	3	90.6%	2.92	1	-0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CGY at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	8	0	0.60
1	CAR	17	1	1.33
2	CGY	14	1	1.08
2	CAR	3	0	0.09
3	CGY	10	0	0.53
3	CAR	21	2	1.52
4	CGY	6	0	0.71
4	CAR	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0