Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-10-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

DET: 52.4%

ANA: 47.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.94

ANA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	33	32	1	97.0%	2.56	3	1.56
ANA	John Gibson	41	36	5	87.8%	4.13	2	-0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DET at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	DET
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	1.00
1	ANA	14	3	1.24
2	DET	10	0	0.92
2	ANA	18	0	0.93
3	DET	21	2	2.21
3	ANA	14	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1