New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-10-23 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

FLA: 59.9%

NYI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.06

NYI: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	26	24	2	92.3%	1.97	0	-0.03
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	32	29	3	90.6%	3.58	2	0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYI: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	1	1.06
1	NYI	10	0	0.49
2	FLA	14	0	1.14
2	NYI	10	0	0.61
3	FLA	9	1	1.38
3	NYI	15	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2