St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-10-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 63.9%

STL: 36.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.40

STL: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	25	25	0	100.0%	2.27	0	2.27
STL	T. Greiss	43	39	4	90.7%	4.55	2	0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WPG at home vs STL: 12-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.64
1	STL	17	0	1.02
2	WPG	18	0	1.36
2	STL	11	0	0.57
3	WPG	26	2	2.56
3	STL	12	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6