Arizona Coyotes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-10-25 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 6 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 68.0%

ARI: 32.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.39

ARI: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	19	13	6	68.4%	2.40	3	-3.60
ARI	C. Ingram	33	30	3	90.9%	3.81	1	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-26	ARI 6 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2023-11-16	CBJ 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-19	ARI 3 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2022-10-25	CBJ 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	CBJ
2021-11-18	ARI 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	1	1.72
1	ARI	7	0	0.32
2	CBJ	13	0	0.76
2	ARI	15	2	1.38
3	CBJ	19	0	1.33
3	ARI	8	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 6 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5