Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-25 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

BOS: 63.3%

DAL: 36.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.75

DAL: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

BOS

L. Ullmark

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	30	1	96.8%	3.53	1	2.53
DAL	Jake Oettinger	29	26	3	89.7%	3.56	3	0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs DAL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	2	1.37
1	DAL	15	1	1.43
2	BOS	15	0	1.27
2	DAL	12	0	1.06
3	BOS	9	1	0.92
3	DAL	12	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2