New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2022-10-25 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 40.1%
NJD: 59.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.89
NJD: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
A. Nedeljkovic
NJD
V. Vanecek
| Stat | DET | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | A. Nedeljkovic | 41 | 35 | 6 | 85.4% | 2.50 | 0 | -3.50 |
| NJD | V. Vanecek | 22 | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | 1.63 | 0 | -0.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • DET at home vs NJD: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DET 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-08 | NJD 0 - 3 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 7 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 1 | NJD | 17 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 2 | DET | 11 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 2 | NJD | 19 | 0 | 1.12 |
| 3 | DET | 13 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 3 | NJD | 15 | 0 | 0.64 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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