Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-25 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

SEA: 53.9%

BUF: 46.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.79

BUF: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 59%

SEA

M. Jones

BUF

E. Comrie

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	16	15	1	93.8%	1.41	0	0.41
BUF	E. Comrie	24	19	5	79.2%	3.63	2	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs BUF: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	1.52
1	BUF	7	0	0.44
2	SEA	9	0	1.08
2	BUF	10	0	0.58
3	SEA	9	1	1.03
3	BUF	7	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 2.5