Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-10-26 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

STL: 29.0%

EDM: 71.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.25

EDM: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	25	3	89.3%	3.40	1	0.40
EDM	Stuart Skinner	38	37	1	97.4%	3.67	2	2.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.44
1	EDM	14	0	0.90
2	STL	25	2	2.17
2	EDM	13	0	0.58
3	STL	17	0	1.06
3	EDM	13	1	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.2 - 3.5