Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-27 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BOS: 57.1%

DET: 42.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.54

DET: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	28	1	96.6%	2.74	1	1.74
DET	Ville Husso	33	28	5	84.8%	3.25	1	-1.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.75
1	DET	15	1	1.11
2	BOS	12	0	0.60
2	DET	13	0	0.82
3	BOS	19	1	1.90
3	DET	13	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0