Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-10-27 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (71% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 28.6%

FLA: 71.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.61

FLA: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

PHI

C. Hart

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	51	48	3	94.1%	4.92	1	1.92
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	18	4	81.8%	1.79	1	-2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs FLA: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	FLA
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.47
1	FLA	27	1	1.61
2	PHI	12	1	0.95
2	FLA	20	0	1.41
3	PHI	7	0	0.37
3	FLA	30	0	1.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4