Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-10-27 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 52.7%
WPG: 47.3%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.08
WPG: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | LAK | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 19 | 13 | 6 | 68.4% | 2.65 | 1 | -3.35 |
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | 44 | 40 | 4 | 90.9% | 4.38 | 1 | 0.38 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • LAK at home vs WPG: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | WPG 5 - 1 LAK | WPG | LAK |
| 2025-11-04 | LAK 3 - 0 WPG | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-11 | WPG 3 - 2 LAK | WPG | LAK |
| 2025-04-01 | LAK 4 - 1 WPG | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-01-10 | WPG 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 24 | 0 | 2.13 |
| 1 | WPG | 7 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 2 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | WPG | 10 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 3 | LAK | 16 | 1 | 1.31 |
| 3 | WPG | 12 | 1 | 1.03 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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