Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-10-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 67.0%

BOS: 33.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.37

BOS: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	35	31	4	88.6%	2.72	1	-1.28
BOS	L. Ullmark	30	30	0	100.0%	2.29	0	2.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	1.16
1	BOS	19	0	1.15
2	CBJ	8	0	0.57
2	BOS	20	1	1.18
3	CBJ	13	0	0.56
3	BOS	7	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9