New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-10-28 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 66.8%

NYI: 33.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.65

NYI: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	26	6	81.2%	2.50	1	-3.50
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	35	33	2	94.3%	3.44	1	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYI: 11-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.48
1	NYI	13	0	0.71
2	CAR	26	0	1.52
2	NYI	14	0	0.80
3	CAR	22	1	1.44
3	NYI	11	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8