Winnipeg Jets at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-10-28 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 47.4%

WPG: 52.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.02

WPG: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	35	32	3	91.4%	3.70	1	0.70
WPG	D. Rittich	21	19	2	90.5%	1.89	1	-0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs WPG: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-25	WPG 4 - 3 ARI	WPG	WPG
2024-01-07	ARI 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 ARI	WPG	WPG
2023-11-04	ARI 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-03-21	WPG 2 - 1 ARI	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	14	0	0.83
1	WPG	12	1	0.97
2	ARI	12	1	0.84
2	WPG	20	0	0.89
3	ARI	4	0	0.17
3	WPG	19	0	1.69
4	ARI	1	0	0.05
4	WPG	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9