Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

FLA: 57.5%

OTT: 42.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.59

OTT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	26	23	3	88.5%	2.93	3	-0.07
OTT	Anton Forsberg	58	53	5	91.4%	5.26	2	0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • FLA at home vs OTT: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	FLA
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	29	0	1.90
1	OTT	5	0	0.16
2	FLA	24	0	1.11
2	OTT	17	2	1.82
3	FLA	16	2	2.25
3	OTT	10	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1