Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 32.4%

CAR: 67.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.57

CAR: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

PHI

C. Hart

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	38	34	4	89.5%	3.84	3	-0.16
CAR	A. Raanta	29	26	3	89.7%	2.70	0	-0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-11

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	0	0.73
1	CAR	20	0	1.46
2	PHI	11	0	0.81
2	CAR	16	3	1.54
3	PHI	11	0	0.99
3	CAR	14	0	0.38
4	PHI	2	0	0.17
4	CAR	7	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6