Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

LAK: 52.3%

TOR: 47.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.23

TOR: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

LAK

C. Petersen

TOR

I. Samsonov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	28	26	2	92.9%	3.68	3	1.68
TOR	I. Samsonov	29	25	4	86.2%	2.78	1	-1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs TOR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	LAK 7 - 6 TOR	LAK	LAK
2025-11-13	TOR 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	TOR
2025-03-29	LAK 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK
2024-10-16	TOR 6 - 2 LAK	TOR	TOR
2024-01-02	LAK 0 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	0	0.56
1	TOR	12	1	1.10
2	LAK	15	0	1.18
2	TOR	14	2	1.61
3	LAK	12	1	1.03
3	TOR	17	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2