Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

SEA: 55.4%

PIT: 44.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.98

PIT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 56%

SEA

M. Jones

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	33	32	1	97.0%	2.78	0	1.78
PIT	C. DeSmith	30	27	3	90.0%	4.69	3	1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	SEA
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	0	0.84
1	PIT	11	0	0.61
2	SEA	16	0	1.32
2	PIT	15	0	0.63
3	SEA	14	3	2.53
3	PIT	21	0	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1