Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-10-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 56.0%

MIN: 44.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.28

MIN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

A. Stalock

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	38	33	5	86.8%	4.77	4	-0.23
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	28	25	3	89.3%	1.95	2	-1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	0.74
1	MIN	15	0	0.90
2	CHI	10	1	0.79
2	MIN	13	1	0.56
3	CHI	8	0	0.29
3	MIN	18	1	1.18
4	CHI	0	0	0.00
4	MIN	4	0	0.23
5	CHI	2	0	0.13
5	MIN	3	2	1.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8