New York Rangers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-10-30 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

ARI: 43.0%

NYR: 57.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.46

NYR: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	39	36	3	92.3%	4.20	2	1.20
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	20	18	2	90.0%	2.68	3	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs NYR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-30	ARI 5 - 8 NYR	NYR	ARI
2023-10-16	NYR 2 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-11-13	NYR 4 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-10-30	ARI 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2022-01-22	NYR 7 - 3 ARI	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.49
1	NYR	22	1	1.63
2	ARI	12	0	0.90
2	NYR	12	0	0.83
3	ARI	10	3	1.29
3	NYR	17	1	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.0