Montreal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

MIN: 62.0%

MTL: 38.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.31

MTL: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	35	34	1	97.1%	2.36	1	1.36
MTL	J. Allen	31	27	4	87.1%	5.04	3	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs MTL: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	1.03
1	MTL	17	1	0.75
2	MIN	24	1	1.93
2	MTL	17	0	1.00
3	MIN	10	2	2.08
3	MTL	12	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8