New Jersey Devils at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

VAN: 29.1%

NJD: 70.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.54

NJD: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	37	32	5	86.5%	4.30	4	-0.70
NJD	M. Blackwood	23	21	2	91.3%	2.73	0	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • VAN at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.78
1	NJD	10	1	0.73
2	VAN	16	0	1.12
2	NJD	21	0	1.51
3	VAN	11	0	0.84
3	NJD	17	3	2.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.5 - 3.2