Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 60.6%

ANA: 39.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.34

ANA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	46	39	7	84.8%	4.95	2	-2.05
ANA	A. Stolarz	47	41	6	87.2%	5.07	4	-0.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs ANA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.66
1	ANA	21	0	1.12
2	SJS	20	2	2.19
2	ANA	16	0	0.92
3	SJS	19	1	1.26
3	ANA	11	0	0.70
4	SJS	2	0	0.15
4	ANA	7	0	0.38
5	SJS	2	1	0.80
5	ANA	2	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8