Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

DET: 50.3%

WSH: 49.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.94

WSH: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	34	33	1	97.1%	2.69	1	1.69
WSH	D. Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	3.04	2	0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • DET at home vs WSH: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.55
1	WSH	15	0	0.85
2	DET	12	0	0.71
2	WSH	15	1	0.89
3	DET	11	2	1.78
3	WSH	13	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8