Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Florida Panthers (SO)

Win Probability

SJS: 36.5%

FLA: 63.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.59

FLA: 3.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

J. Reimer

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	48	44	4	91.7%	4.94	4	0.94
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	42	39	3	92.9%	3.68	2	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	1	0.69
1	FLA	24	2	2.09
2	SJS	15	0	0.77
2	FLA	17	1	0.83
3	SJS	18	1	1.60
3	FLA	13	0	0.58
4	SJS	3	0	0.35
4	FLA	7	0	0.56
5	SJS	4	0	0.27
5	FLA	4	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.8