Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

WPG: 58.6%

CHI: 41.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.82

CHI: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	30	30	0	100.0%	2.24	1	2.24
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	37	33	4	89.2%	4.34	3	0.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.93
1	CHI	16	1	1.28
2	WPG	16	1	1.49
2	CHI	11	0	0.46
3	WPG	21	2	1.92
3	CHI	13	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 3.2