New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 40.2%

NYI: 59.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.78

NYI: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	24	24	0	100.0%	2.78	2	2.78
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	26	23	3	88.5%	2.00	1	-1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs NYI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	DET
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	0	0.72
1	NYI	8	2	1.07
2	DET	14	1	0.96
2	NYI	10	0	0.51
3	DET	5	0	0.32
3	NYI	21	0	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6