Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Nashville Predators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 50.9%

NSH: 49.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.31

NSH: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	28	4	87.5%	4.08	2	0.08
NSH	Juuse Saros	46	43	3	93.5%	4.21	3	1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • VAN at home vs NSH: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	NSH
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	18	1	1.27
1	NSH	6	0	0.49
2	VAN	19	2	2.06
2	NSH	15	1	1.36
3	VAN	13	0	0.53
3	NSH	20	0	0.89
4	VAN	2	0	0.25
4	NSH	5	0	0.41
5	VAN	2	0	0.11
5	NSH	2	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9