Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 58.0%

ANA: 42.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.70

ANA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

J. Reimer

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	29	22	7	75.9%	5.20	3	-1.80
ANA	A. Stolarz	56	50	6	89.3%	6.82	3	0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs ANA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	23	0	1.54
1	ANA	5	0	0.34
2	SJS	20	0	1.44
2	ANA	12	0	0.43
3	SJS	15	1	1.49
3	ANA	16	0	1.16
4	SJS	7	0	0.34
4	ANA	5	0	0.59
5	SJS	5	2	2.01
5	ANA	5	3	2.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9