Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2022-11-08 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 75.0%
CGY: 25.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.85
CGY: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
V. Vanecek
CGY
J. Markstrom
| Stat | NJD | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | V. Vanecek | 35 | 33 | 2 | 94.3% | 3.39 | 3 | 1.39 |
| CGY | J. Markstrom | 20 | 17 | 3 | 85.0% | 1.95 | 2 | -1.05 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NJD at home vs CGY: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | NJD 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 6 | 1 | 0.42 |
| 1 | CGY | 19 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 2 | NJD | 13 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 2 | CGY | 14 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 3 | NJD | 11 | 1 | 0.67 |
| 3 | CGY | 20 | 2 | 1.92 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.9 - 2.9
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