Montreal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-11-08 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 52.7%

MTL: 47.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.18

MTL: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	36	32	4	88.9%	3.40	2	-0.60
MTL	J. Allen	45	42	3	93.3%	4.84	2	1.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs MTL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	DET 3 - 1 MTL	DET	MTL
2026-01-10	MTL 0 - 4 DET	DET	MTL
2025-10-09	DET 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-08	MTL 4 - 1 DET	MTL	MTL
2025-01-23	DET 4 - 2 MTL	DET	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	21	0	1.53
1	MTL	8	0	0.41
2	DET	20	1	1.22
2	MTL	10	0	0.36
3	DET	14	0	0.79
3	MTL	14	0	0.58
4	DET	4	0	0.27
4	MTL	4	0	0.33
5	DET	3	1	1.04
5	MTL	3	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1