Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2022-11-09 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 48.4%
CAR: 51.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.95
CAR: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
CAR
A. Raanta
| Stat | FLA | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.000 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 0.00 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Spencer Knight | 40 | 40 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.24 | 0 | 3.24 |
| CAR | A. Raanta | 37 | 34 | 3 | 91.9% | 4.26 | 2 | 1.26 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • FLA at home vs CAR: 8-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | CAR 0 - 1 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 18 | 1 | 1.51 |
| 1 | CAR | 13 | 0 | 1.45 |
| 2 | FLA | 15 | 0 | 1.12 |
| 2 | CAR | 14 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 3 | FLA | 15 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 3 | CAR | 22 | 0 | 1.17 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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