Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-11-09 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ANA: 48.1%

MIN: 51.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.90

MIN: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	39	35	4	89.7%	4.10	4	0.10
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	32	31	1	96.9%	2.52	0	1.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.54
1	MIN	19	1	1.48
2	ANA	20	0	1.29
2	MIN	10	0	0.65
3	ANA	11	0	0.68
3	MIN	17	3	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4