Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-11-10 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CAR: 57.7%

EDM: 42.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.28

EDM: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	22	20	2	90.9%	3.49	2	1.49
EDM	Jack Campbell	32	25	7	78.1%	4.22	2	-2.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs EDM: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	1.37
1	EDM	16	1	1.28
2	CAR	14	1	1.41
2	EDM	15	1	1.55
3	CAR	18	1	1.44
3	EDM	11	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.8